Group A, the group containing this year’s host nation, France, has seen some interesting developments so far. After 2 games played by each country, the French have maximum points, while the Swiss and Romania seem to be battling for second place in the group.
Considering that Romania will beat Albania in the last game of the group, France – Switzerland will be a lot more important for the latter of the two teams.
Switzerland 5.35 or 17/4 Draw 2.75 or 7/4 France 2.00 or 1/1
If Romania and Switzerland finish on level points (Romania beats Albania and France beats Switzerland), goal difference will play a major part. The teams currently stand at +1 (Swiss) and -1 (Romanians), which can very quickly change.
Most surely, the Swiss don’t want to rely on goal difference to finish in second place and will try to get a positive result against the host nation. Although this does seem complicated on paper, it isn’t that far-fetched: the Swiss played great against Romania and had tons of bad luck, while the host nation isn’t in top form.
France only managed to win its games with late goals so far – 89th minute vs Romania (Payet) and 2 late goals (90 and 96) by Griezmann and Payet again against Albania. They will surely rest a few key players in the last game of the group, which will bring an added chance for the Swiss to get a positive result. In case of a draw, the two teams will go hand in hand in the next stage.
A great, great value bet for this game is to bet on Switzerland, either X2 or +1,5 using an Asian handicap. They showed great football and need a positive result, while France lacks motivation and form.
Also, we should see some goals in the game, at least one from both sides, but the Swiss should get at least a point and send Romania in 3rd place. This is one of the bets we trust most in Day 3 – let’s see how it plays out.