The headline of this year’s round of 16 is, undoubtedly, the game between Italy and Spain. The re-enacting of the last European Championship final takes place very early this year, and, of course, only one team will be able to progress: will it be the one playing beautiful, offensive football or the pragmatic and calculated one? We shall see.

Betting Odds:   Italy 4.40 or 17/5   Draw 2.90 or 19/10   Spain 2.20 or 6/5   with xNx

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italy vs spain euro 2016

Apart from their last day defeat versus Ireland, where they rested a large number of key players, the Italians played exceptionally well. They won 2-0 versus Belgium in a very convincing matter, playing very pragmatic, calculated and direct football.

They were not seen as a great contender for the title this year, but their group performances have elevated them to title contender status. The 3-5-2 formation Conte implemented seem like a gimmick at first, but now is dubbed as creative and direct.

On the other hand, Spain adapted very quickly to the loss of some key players from last time, like Xavi, Casillas or Torres. Alvaro Morata is their new goalscoring machine, Iniesta is still in peak form and midfielders like Fabregas will always be top quality players.

They showed great football in the majority of their group games, only losing the one against Croatia. They have re-confirmed the fact that they want to win this year’s Euro, to achieve the unthinkable: 3 titles in a row.

From a betting perspective, you clearly must avoid picking an outright winner: there is no favorite here. We recommend betting on things like goals – under 2,5 goals is a decent pick, or even yellow cards.

Italy are a team which are known to do everything they can in order to win – this comes with the price of a few yellow cards. The Spaniards are fairly disciplined, with one notable exception : Ramos. Betting that Italy will get more yellow cards and that Ramos will be booked is our suggestion of the day.

Betting Tip: Total Goals Over/Under – Under 2.5   1.40 or 2/5 with ydy

Betting Tip: To be Shown a Card – Sergio Ramos  2.75 or  7/4 with ydy

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