Football fans from all over the world are waiting for Spain debut today, on the 13th of June, to see the current holders of the title in action. On paper, the Spaniards seem like sure-fire favorites to win the group, but things aren’t always that easy.
The first game between Croatia and Turkey saw two evenly-matched, disciplined and offensive teams, which the Spanish will surely have trouble breaking down – after they attempt the same feat with the Czech.
The game between Turkey and Spain, which will take place on the 17th of June, is a last-chance story for the Turks and a chance for Spain to (probably) book their knockout tickets.
Bookmaker Odds At European Betting Sites:
Spain 1.39 or 20/51 Draw 4.45 or 33/10 Turkey 9.00 or 8/1
Spain are heavy favorites against the Czech Republic, but we have failed to see clear victories in the tournament so far – the only victory by a 2-goal margin was achieved by Germany, and with a goal in the 92nd minute in a 5 against 2 counter attack. Thus, Turkey-Spain seems a lot more balanced.
Also bear in mind that the Turks are extremely determined and disciplined, and will fight for every ball for the duration of the game. They will surely be the ones winning physical duels for the ball and will be under a lot of pressure, while Spain can also be content with a draw going into the last fixture of the group.
All these calculations rely on the idea that Spain will beat the Czech – if not, they will be just as hungry for victory as their opponents.
From a betting perspective, we see a balanced game, where neither team will win by a margin larger than one goal. Thus, an Asian Handicap bet on Turkey can ensure that you take advantage of some good odds, while betting that Spain will score at least one goal is our sure bet for this game.
Total Goals: Under 2.50 – 1.80 with 138Bet
The unpredictability of the Turkish squad is one of the reasons we’d avoid going into more complicated bets for this game. Those bets would not have any reason behind them and would rely on sheer luck.
Italy v Sweden: Betting Preview, Odds And Tips
Group E will have its first games today, on the 13th of June, and will commence with the two favorites (Belgium and Italy) and the two “outsiders” (Sweden and Ireland) playing each other.
Although Belgium and Italy seem like favorites for the first and second spot on paper, the group is a lot more balanced in reality. Sweden and Ireland are both two disciplined and strong teams, which some individuals who can always produce goals out of nothing.
Betting Odds: Italy 1.80 or 4/5 Draw 3.40 or 12/5 Sweden 5.00 or 4/1
The game between Italy and Sweden, which will take place on the 17th of June, is thought to be of more importance for the Swedes than the Italians. The reason is the results: Ireland v Sweden (1:1) and Belgium v Italy (0:2)
The logic, though, is clear: the team which will have more points than the other will be satisfied with a draw, while the others know that they need a win in order to not rely on others to qualify from the group.
With the group being as balanced as it is, we expect to see lots of draws and no team clearly emerging to qualify for the knockout stages quickly. That being said, the game between Sweden and Italy will probably not feature lots of goals.
An under 2, 5 goal bet is something to consider, especially due to the quality of the two goalkeepers. Zlatan Ibrahimović is always a favorite in the goalscoring chart, while Italy will almost surely not score more than twice, even if they are to win the game.
Total Goals: Under 2.5 – 1.51 or 20/39 with NetBet
Italians just don’t attack that much. Overall, if you are feeling like you need a slightly larger odd, try betting on a draw and 1-1 was quite common between the two teams.